- Election verdict on June 4th: Impact may be mitigated if already discounted, but remains a significant factor.
- Earnings growth: Pace of earnings growth crucial for equity markets, particularly in the first couple of quarters.
- Inclusion in global bond indices: JP Morgan Bond Index inclusion in June could attract investment, affecting bond markets, yields, and the rupee.
- RBI policy decisions: Watch for Reserve Bank of India's policy decisions, along with US Federal Reserve decisions, as delays in rate cuts may negatively impact markets.
- Geopolitical events: Escalation in conflicts in regions like Ukraine, Yasha, or the Middle East could trigger a risk-off sentiment in global equity markets.
- US presidential elections: Although India is stable politically, outcomes of US elections could have some impact, requiring attention.
